Corinthians and Fortaleza will square off in the semi-finals of the Copa Sudamericana. As Brazil anticipates a representative in the final for the third consecutive year, the stage is set for an exhilarating showdown at the Neo Quimica Arena in Sao Paulo on September 27, 2023. With the winner facing either LDU Quito or Defensa y Justicia in the final, the stakes couldn’t be higher.
Analysis: Corinthians entered the Copa Sudamericana after an underwhelming performance in the group stages of the Copa Libertadores. Despite their stumble in the league, standing 10 points behind Athletico Paranaense and currently holding 10th place, they have exhibited commendable form in cup competitions. In their journey to the semis, they navigated through challenging teams like Universitario and Newell’s Old Boys. Interestingly, their league form may not be an accurate measure of their potential, given their recent victory over leaders Botafogo, and their impressive 11-match unbeaten streak at home across all competitions.
On the other hand, Fortaleza has been formidable. Topping their group with an impeccable 15 points from six matches, they showcased their might by trouncing America Mineiro 5-2 on aggregate. Heading into this clash, Juan Pablo Vojvoda’s team displays a sparkling form, having won seven of their last eight matches. They currently hold the eighth spot in the Brasileiro league table, with an eye on a Copa Libertadores automatic qualification spot. Historically speaking, they have recently held the upper hand over Corinthians with a three-match unbeaten streak, indicating a psychological advantage.
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However, history at the Neo Quimica Arena tells a slightly different story. Corinthians have a dominant record at home against Fortaleza, boasting seven wins from the last 10 encounters. Additionally, the stadium has been a fortress for them, with no losses in their last 11 home games.
As for the lineups, Corinthians’ Luxemburgo has some injury woes with key players like Paulinho, Giovane, and Roni missing out. Meanwhile, Vojvoda’s Fortaleza won’t see the likes of Pedro Rocha and Hercules due to long-term injuries. Yet, with both teams possessing depth in their squads, a thrilling contest is on the cards.
Prediction: Taking into account the data provided, recent form, historical clashes, and the importance of the tie, it’s a tough call. Corinthians have home advantage and an imperious record at the Neo Quimica Arena. However, Fortaleza’s current form and recent history against Corinthians can’t be ignored.
Mauri.bet predicts: Corinthians 1-1 Fortaleza. A draw seems a likely outcome given the contrasting forms and historical data, with Fortaleza carrying a slight edge into the return leg.
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